BBC diplomatic correspondent
The news of the Israeli government’s decision to handle the city of Gaza is not getting surprisingly with disappointment in Gaza. Gaza City, its capital, is on the countdown of oblivion.
Assuming that Hamas does not capitalize in the coming weeks – and currently there are some signs of this happening – then the Israeli army is ready to start the devastating new phase of war.
For Gaza City, where an estimated one million citizens still live, the possibilities are foggy.
There are hundreds of thousands of people who were forced to flee during the early months of war, but who returned to January when a ceasefire expected to end the fight.
He spent more than a year from his homes, from one place to another, lived in rapidly desperate conditions.
When he returned to the north, many people destroyed their homes and their neighborhood disappeared. But they settled, where they could, believing that the war could finally end.
But life in the city, already quite difficult, in the middle of Israel in the middle of March, deteriorated rapidly after breaking the ceasefire and cut aid supply, which created the worst human crisis of conflict.
Now it seems that a new cycle is going to be revealed.
The Israeli government is once again going to try to force the entire population of Gaza City to move to the south, a process that reports that it can be completed in two months.
Once again expect to look at the curfew, withdrawal order and the convoy of exhausted citizens on the road.
Last time, withdrawal was capable of taking shelter in cities like Khan Younis and Rafah. But those cities are almost completely slanting, raising serious questions about the citizens who run away.
Israel says more assistance will be available, but some details are given.
Meanwhile, the story of Gaza City may soon be echoed by Rafa.
In May 2024, Israel cut the southern city and ordered its civilian population – about one million people – to leave. Most of the north-west is known as al-mavasi.
At that time the US President, Joe Biden said that Rafa’s invasion would represent the “red line” for his administration.
But the civilian population was mostly gone, the Israeli army moved forward to destroy Rafah, arguing that the presence of Hamas fighters and infrastructure made it necessary to purify the city.
A year in a year, the city with a stir is barely present.
Unless there is a diplomatic success before the beginning of October, the remains of Gaza City can go in the same way.
This will give up the fate of the “Middle Camps” of the Gaza strip – Nusrat, Bureauge and Deer -L -Balah – hanging in balance.
Israeli officials say there is no current plan to attack and occupy the camps, although they have been attacked several times, not yet experienced the worst of war.
But if Hamas remains an attendance there, especially if it still takes hostage, then there is no reason to think that even the same story will not be revealed.
The Prime Minister of Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu believes that he can achieve all this in chasing the total win over Hamas.
A civilian population of two million people can still be forced to withdraw from the path, ordered and kept alive through more or more chaotic – and often in terms of distribution points, the provision of fatal – minimum amount of aid, while they call homes, are systematically destroyed.
Most of the Israelis opposed what it means for the fate of the remaining 50 hostages, about 20 of which are considered alive.
Most of the world is watching in horror. Israel’s diplomatic isolation is ready to deepen.
Netanyahu’s Gaza’s victory can also test the patience of his loyal colleague at the White House.
But after defeating Hizbullah in Lebanon, helping to bring about the collapse of Assad regime in Syria and providing a devastating set against his staunch enemy Iran, Israel has confirmed its position as a regional superpower, which is capable of taking many enemies.
After the cruel insult by Hamas in October 2023, Netanyahu is now feeling and is ready to take a risk.
Who, he is thinking, is going to stop him?