Sharan is a mixed bag figure for the UK government

The newly released home office data has a mixed picture of how the strategy that seeks the refuge of the government is working.

Number of shelters kept in hotels – A current political flashpoint – It has increased slightly in comparison when coming to power. However, the figures are far below the 2023 peak, when the conservative government was in the government, it shows new data.

Number of refuge applications in UK during June to June Reached a new record of 111,000 also However, the government has reduced the backlog of claims by processing them rapidly.

In addition, in the year to June, about 38% more small boats landed on the coasts of the UK than the previous year.

BBC correspondent Jack Fenvic and Dominic Casiani assess what the figures tell us about the effectiveness of the government’s refuge strategy.

By political correspondent Jack Fenvic

The record number of asylum applications and increase in hotel use are in the headlines because the labor came to power clearly not to read comfortable reading for ministers.

But according to a source, the overall approach in the house office on Thursday morning was “not disappointed”.

And there is evidence that elements of government strategy can work despite those headlines.

it The first is data This takes into account the huge increase in small boat crossings since March.

A few months ago, some people inside the house office were worried that the hotel could be used as a result.

But this did not happen. The number of shelter seekers in hotels actually went down a bit between March and June.

Ministers are trying to find alternative sources of housing like regular homes and flats – but those numbers have not gone up.

By processing the claims more rapidly, the house office is able to ensure that the large growth in small boat crossings has not had much impact on the residence.

Eliminating the use of hotels was a pledge of a labor declaration and ministers have a long, long way before reaching it.

Opposition parties say that the government’s record on illegal immigration will eventually be judged on small boat crossing numbers, which remain on the stubborn, record-breaking high.

Shadow Home Secretary Chris Filp claims that if his party’s plan was implemented to send asylum seekers to Rwanda, the number would be at zero.

Labor abolished the idea and a senior home office source says they are able to take many of those employees to the team and give impetus to initial asylum applications.

The same source tried to move some political onus moving forward on the Ministry of Justice (Moj).

While the claims of the initial asylum are being processed more rapidly, the appeal is increasing in the courts, increasing the concern, the data has shown a record level of appeal against the unsuccessful asylum applications.

The home office source said, “The courts are definitely a pinch of points and we need Moj to move and help us”.

A former Justice Secretary told us that such appeals are often due to the “poor causwork management” from the house office during the initial application phase.

There is a clear possibility of tension between the two parts of the government in the coming months.

Ghar and legal correspondent by Dominic Cassiani

The final objective of the government is to explain to the public that there is better control of immigration and refuge system than its predecessors and anyone has to wait in wings like potentially improvement.

This makes these figures complicated for both him and his opponents.

The good news for the government is that authorities are processing more cases than a year ago, meaning that less people in the system may require housing support in the long term.

The smaller the backlog, the less the government has to spend. The total shelter support bill has fallen to £ 4.8bn in 2024–25, below £ 5.4bn a year ago.

But now for bad news.

More people have been told that they have no case. Those people get stuck in the system until they either win or lose their appeal.

And this is why the home office is only making minor progress on the use of hotels – a step brought by the final government after exiting the alternative housing around the UK.

The government can show that it has increased the expulsion of people from Britain at the end of the process. Although more than half of the removal is not applicants of asylum, foreign national criminals have been left in jail.

The expulsion of small boat migrants is minor and many of them are legally low -hanging fruits, such as a brief event of a crowd of Albanian citizens.

Importantly, however, the number of voluntary leaving has increased by 13% to 26,761. They are paid up to £ 3,000 to go – but it is much cheaper than the courts. This is a win for the government.

Four other important factors will play a big role in this challenge.

The government’s plan to strengthen the counter-samgaling gang powers is still in Parliament. What does TBC work on this.

The minister is waiting for the French to leave the edge and leave a separate German commitment to change his law so that he can seize the boats when there is a warehouse from there.

The final factor depends on global events. If they feel insecure then people will continue to leave their homes around the world to come to Europe.

All these things will have to go in the right direction for the government to fulfill their commitment to end the use of the hotel by the end of Parliament.